Morgan Stanley maintains equal-weight rating on Muthoot Finance stock, expects 17% downside from current share price

Morgan Stanley has retained its equal-weight rating on Muthoot Finance stock/share while assigning a target price of ₹1,825, representing a downside potential of -17.32% from the current market price of ₹2,207.25.

Key highlights from Morgan Stanley’s report on Muthoot Finance stock:

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  1. Revised EPS Estimates:
    • EPS estimates for FY25, FY26, and FY27 have been raised by 1.6%, 3.4%, and 3.8%, respectively.
    • The change reflects an adjusted AUM CAGR projection of ~20% for FY24-27, down from ~19% earlier.
  2. Improved NIM Projections:
    • FY25-27 Net Interest Margin (NIM) forecast increased to an average of 11.6%, compared to 11.5% earlier.
  3. Cost of Equity Lowered:
    • Cost of equity has been revised downward by 50 basis points to 12.5%, indicating a favorable funding environment.
  4. SOTP Value Revision:
    • A combination of earnings upgrades and margin enhancements has resulted in a ~14% increase in SOTP scenario values and the target price.

Muthoot Finance outlook remains steady

While Morgan Stanley acknowledges the adjustments in earnings and cost metrics, the equal-weight rating suggests a neutral stance, balancing potential risks and opportunities in the current operating environment.

Disclaimer:

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are advised to consult their financial advisors before making investment decisions.