Macquarie on Avenue Supermarts stock: Underperform rating with a target of Rs 3,700

Macquarie has maintained its “Underperform” rating on Avenue Supermarts stock (DMart) with a target price of ₹3,700 per share. This suggests a limited upside from the current market price (CMP) of ₹3,615.30.

Key highlights from Macquarie’s analysis:

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  1. Q3 sales aided by recovery in specific segments:
    • Sales in general merchandise and apparel showed improvement, supporting Q3 performance.
  2. Competitive headwinds weigh on growth:
    • The brokerage expressed concerns over the impact of rising competition from quick commerce players, which is affecting Avenue Supermarts’ growth momentum.
  3. Sales growth recovery:
    • Sales growth has rebounded closer to Q1FY25 levels, showing sequential improvement.
  4. Store additions on track:
    • The company added 10 new stores in Q3, in line with expectations, bringing the total store count to 387.
  5. Guidance for Q3:
    • Avenue Supermarts guided for standalone Q3 sales of ₹15,570 crore.
  6. Sequential gross margin pickup:
    • A better product mix typically leads to a sequential improvement in gross margins during Q3, as observed in past trends.

Macquarie remains cautious, noting growth recovery and operational efficiency but highlighting competitive pressures as a key risk for sustained performance.

Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers should perform their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.