Cement demand to accelerate in Q4, CLSA prefers Ambuja Cements and UltraTech Cement in largecaps

CLSA has turned incrementally constructive on the cement sector, expecting demand to accelerate heading into FY26 after a weak performance last year.

The brokerage’s analysis of 15 listed cement companies suggests that Q3 saw mid-single-digit volume growth, with an uptick in December. Channel checks indicate that January saw further improvement, with 6-8% volume growth YoY, despite a high base from the previous year.

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Additionally, cement prices have increased 1.5-2% above the FY25 YTD average, reflecting improving demand conditions. If these prices hold steady, CLSA believes that FY26 earnings estimates for cement companies will likely be met.

The brokerage maintains a preference for large-cap cement names like Ambuja Cements and UltraTech Cement, while also favoring Dalmia Bharat among mid-caps.