Shares of Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) gained over 7% on Tuesday, October 29, hitting a 52-week high of Rs 142.50 on the NSE, ahead of its Q2 FY25 earnings announcement. The rally came even as analysts anticipate a sharp decline in profitability, with muted steel pricing expected to weigh on margins.


Earnings Preview 

According to a CNBC-TV18 poll, SAIL’s revenue from operations is projected to rise 0.6% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 24,822 crore in the September quarter, compared to Rs 24,675 crore in the same period last year.

However, its operating profit is expected to decline 32% YoY to Rs 1,995 crore from Rs 2,913 crore, with EBITDA margins estimated to shrink to 8.04% from 11.81%.

The company’s net profit is likely to drop sharply by 85% YoY to Rs 136 crore, versus Rs 897 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.


Key Factors Impacting Performance

Analysts noted that SAIL’s volume growth may rise by around 10% YoY, supported by higher production and dispatches. However, this uptick is expected to be offset by weak pricing due to seasonal cuts and a larger proportion of long steel products in its portfolio.

The fall in steel realisations on a sequential basis is projected to impact profitability. On the positive side, lower coking coal costs, down by $10 per tonne sequentially, are expected to provide partial relief to margins.


Stock Performance

At 10:13 AM, shares of SAIL were trading at Rs 142.50, up 7.82% or Rs 10.34, compared to the previous close of Rs 132.16. The stock’s day range stood between Rs 133.20 and Rs 143.15, marking a new yearly high.

SAIL’s market capitalisation is Rs 5.88 lakh crore, with a P/E ratio of 19.38 and a dividend yield of 1.12%. The stock has gained 22.2% in the past six months, outperforming broader market indices.


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