Morgan Stanley has maintained its equal-weight rating on SBI Card and Payments stock/share, setting the target price at ₹685, reflecting a +1.33% upside from the current market price of ₹676.00.

Key highlights from Morgan Stanley’s report on SBI Card and Payments stock:

  1. EPS Estimates Adjusted:
    • FY25 EPS projections have been reduced by 4.7%, primarily due to revised growth assumptions.
  2. Outspending Growth Lowered:
    • The outspending growth forecast has been trimmed to ~4% YoY from the earlier ~10% YoY projection.
    • Receivables growth has also been revised to ~15% YoY from the earlier ~23% YoY.
  3. Credit Cost Assumptions Raised:
    • FY25 credit cost assumption increased by 10 basis points to 8.65%, reflecting a cautious stance on credit risks.
  4. Higher NIMs and Lower Credit Costs:
    • Adjusted assumptions for FY26 and FY27 reflect a ~5% increase in EPS estimates, driven by higher Net Interest Margins (NIMs) and reduced credit costs.
  5. Impact on Valuation:
    • The revised earnings and cost dynamics contribute to a ~5% increase in scenario values and the price target.

Disclaimer:

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are advised to consult their financial advisors before making investment decisions.