India finds itself in a tough position in their Champions Trophy 2025 clash against New Zealand, with their win probability dropping to just 20% after losing three early wickets inside the first 12 overs. At 41/3 in 12.1 overs, India’s batting lineup is under immense pressure after the top-order collapse.
India’s struggles so far:
After being put in to bat, India lost:
- Shubman Gill (2 off 7) lbw to Matt Henry (2.5 overs, 15/1)
- Rohit Sharma (15 off 17) caught by Will Young off Kyle Jamieson (5.1 overs, 22/2)
- Virat Kohli (11 off 14) caught by Glenn Phillips off Matt Henry (6.4 overs, 30/3)
The early wickets have allowed New Zealand to dominate the powerplay, restricting India’s scoring rate and putting their middle order under pressure.
Win probability shift
At the start of the match, India’s chances of winning were close to 50%, but after the top-order collapse, the probability has drastically dropped to 20%, as per the current match situation. New Zealand’s disciplined bowling attack has taken control, leaving India with a difficult rebuilding phase.
Current match situation:
- India: 41/3 (12.1 overs)
- Shreyas Iyer: 9* (20)
- Axar Patel: 3* (15)
- Matt Henry: 5-0-26-2
- Kyle Jamieson: 6-0-14-1
- William O’Rourke: 1.1-0-1-0
With India’s win probability significantly reduced, the onus is now on the middle order, including KL Rahul, Hardik Pandya, and Ravindra Jadeja, to stabilize the innings. Can India recover from this early collapse, or will New Zealand continue to dominate?
Stay tuned for live updates!
