DAM Capital has reiterated its ‘Buy’ rating on IndusInd Bank while reducing the target price to ₹1,200 (from ₹1,650), reflecting a potential 28.8% upside from the current market price (CMP) of ₹931.85. The brokerage highlights ongoing profitability pressures due to challenges in microfinance lending and slowing loan growth.

Key Highlights on Indusind Bank:

  1. Profitability Pressure in H2FY25:
    The bank is expected to face sustained profitability challenges, particularly in its microfinance lending (MFI) segment, due to high provisioning, slowing loan growth, and pressure on income.
  2. Return on Assets (RoA):
    RoAs are projected to remain in the 1% range during H2FY25, reflecting subdued returns amid operational headwinds.
  3. Earnings Revisions:
    DAM Capital has slashed its EPS estimates for IndusInd Bank by:

    • 18% for FY25E
    • 14% for FY26E
    • 13% for FY27E
  4. Net Interest Margins (NIMs):
    NIMs are forecasted to drop below 4% in Q2FY25, indicating further pressure on profitability.

The bank’s focus on MFI lending has exposed it to sector-specific headwinds, including elevated provisioning requirements and slower loan growth. These challenges, combined with declining NIMs, are weighing on earnings visibility.

While IndusInd Bank continues to navigate near-term challenges, DAM Capital believes the recent correction in the stock presents a long-term opportunity for accumulation, supported by the potential upside in the target price.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. Please consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.