Israeli sources have said it is premature to definitively conclude that the negotiations between Washington and Tehran have collapsed entirely, even as the latest round of talks in Islamabad ended without a signed agreement. These same sources warn that it is “not certain at all” that a new round of US‑Iran talks will be launched, and that decisions about whether to resume or abandon the negotiations could be made quickly from within the White House. The tone of the Israeli assessments underscores both the fragility of the current US‑Iran‑linked ceasefire and the uncertainty surrounding the prospects for a durable peace deal.
US Vice President JD Vance has already stated that the Washington‑Tehran negotiations in Pakistan wrapped up without an agreement, after more than 21 hours of talks, with the Iranians declining to accept key American conditions, including limits on nuclear enrichment and the future of the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian media, in turn, have reported that there are no immediate plans for a second round of talks, and that the Islamic Republic believes Washington’s “excessive demands” derailed the process. Despite these setbacks, Israeli commentators and officials quoted in open‑source material say the door to diplomacy is not yet shut, noting that both the Trump administration and the Iranian leadership still have incentives to avoid a full‑scale escalation.
Israeli warnings also highlight that the situation could change fast, with the White House retaining the option to shift course in a matter of hours—either toward tougher sanctions and military threats or toward softened terms aimed at reviving the talks. The absence of any clear, public timetable for follow‑up negotiations means regional actors, including Israel, are preparing for both a continuation of the current ceasefire and a possible return to broader hostilities, depending on how quickly Washington and Tehran decide to move.
Key highlights
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Israeli sources say it’s premature to call US‑Iran talks fully collapsed
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Warn that a new round of talks is not certain
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Decisions may come from White House at short notice
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Vance confirms no deal after 21‑hour Islamabad talks
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Iranian media say no immediate plans for follow‑up negotiations