Pakistan have kept their hopes alive in the Asia Cup 2025 Super Four stage after a five-wicket win over Sri Lanka. With one victory and one defeat so far, Salman Ali Agha’s side sit second on the points table with an NRR of +0.226, still in contention for the final berth. The big question now is: can Pakistan set up a blockbuster third clash against India in this tournament?

Current Super 4s standings

  • India: 1 match, 1 win, NRR +0.689

  • Pakistan: 2 matches, 1 win, 1 loss, NRR +0.226

  • Bangladesh: 1 match, 1 win, NRR +0.121

  • Sri Lanka: 2 matches, 0 wins, NRR –0.590

Pakistan’s qualification pathway

  1. Beat Bangladesh – Pakistan must defeat Bangladesh in their next game to stay in the hunt. A loss will confirm their exit.

  2. India must beat Bangladesh – If India defeat Bangladesh, they will seal their spot in the final. That result would also leave Pakistan in a straight shootout scenario.

  3. Better NRR if needed – If both Pakistan and Bangladesh end up with equal points, Net Run Rate will decide the second finalist.

The possible India vs Pakistan final

If Pakistan beat Bangladesh and India also prevail over the Tigers, the arch-rivals will face off again on September 28 in the final. However, if Bangladesh upset India, the qualification will swing on NRR, making both Bangladesh clashes pivotal for Pakistan’s fortunes.

In short, Pakistan’s road to the final is still open but heavily dependent on India’s result against Bangladesh, and their own ability to deliver in a do-or-die clash.