Shares of Tata Steel surged over 4% in early trade on Tuesday, climbing ₹6.01 to ₹155.44 after brokerage firm Nuvama upgraded the stock to a ‘Buy’ and raised the target price to ₹177. The upgrade is based on expectations of improving profitability in European operations and a likely margin expansion starting Q1FY26.
Nuvama’s revised outlook follows Tata Steel’s Q4FY25 results, which came in line with estimates. The company posted a 16% sequential rise in standalone EBITDA at ₹7,110 crore. EBITDA per tonne also increased by ₹1,151 quarter-on-quarter to ₹12,702. Meanwhile, consolidated EBITDA rose 13% QoQ to ₹6,500 crore, despite continued losses in its UK operations.
Recovery signs were visible in the Netherlands operations, and the management highlighted a clear roadmap to achieve consolidated profitability in Europe in upcoming quarters.
Looking ahead, Nuvama expects EBITDA per tonne to increase by nearly ₹2,000 in Q1FY26, driven by higher steel prices and easing coal costs. While seasonal demand may soften volumes, Europe operations are projected to turn EBITDA-positive from Q1FY26, aided by efficiency gains and cost management.
The brokerage has also raised FY27 EBITDA estimates by 6%, citing structural gains from the European business and improved cost structures. Tata Steel is seen to be entering a phase of earnings revival, supported by ongoing capital and cost optimizations.
As of 9:28 AM, Tata Steel shares were trading at ₹155.44, up 4.02%. The stock’s market capitalization stood at ₹1.94 lakh crore.
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