Morgan Stanley has maintained an ‘overweight’ rating on Coforge, with a target price of ₹11,500, implying a 51.5% upside from the current market price (CMP) of ₹7,590.00. Separately, IIFL Finance has given a ‘buy’ rating with a target price of ₹10,500, expecting a 38.3% upside.
Key drivers for the bullish outlook:
- Stock split approved in a 1:5 ratio by the Board of Directors.
- Acquisition of 100% stake in Rhythmos & TMLabs – a departure from Coforge’s usual phased acquisition approach. Morgan Stanley noted that the price paid does not seem inexpensive, with potential dilution of up to 1% to PBT.
- 13-year, $1.56 billion total contract value (TCV) deal win from Sabre, the largest-ever deal for a mid-cap IT firm. IIFL estimates this could contribute $100 million (7%) to annual revenues.
- Strengthened expertise in the airline industry through Rhythmos acquisition, bringing capabilities in cloud, AI/ML, and big data.
- TMLabs acquisition enhances ServiceNow implementation capabilities, especially in Australia and healthcare.
- IIFL projects Coforge to deliver sector-leading 21.4% CC organic revenue growth in FY25, with 23% revenue CAGR and 39% EPS CAGR for FY25-27.
With these strategic expansions, acquisitions, and deal wins, analysts expect strong earnings growth and an upside potential in Coforge’s stock.
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