Capitalmind Financial Services Pvt. Ltd. has conducted an in-depth analysis of the top 30 IPOs by offer size and their returns in comparison to the CNX500 index. This analysis includes the price returns and total returns an investor would have achieved if they had bought the stock at the IPO price and reinvested any dividends.

According to the study, 18 of the top 30 IPOs by offer size have failed to generate excess returns over the CNX500 index. Eight of the top 30 IPOs delivered negative returns, with Reliance Power being the most high-profile underperformer. Zomato, one of the top 10 IPOs, has delivered meaningful excess returns, along with winners like Hindustan Aeronautics, Indian Railway Finance Corporation, Sona BLW Precision Forgings, and ICICI Lombard.

Interestingly, five of the top 10 IPOs have come in the last two years, and they have shown promising performance. IPOs like Bajaj Housing Finance, Bharti Hexacom, and Brainbees (FirstCry) have benefited from a favorable market environment.

Key Insights:

  • 18 of the 30 top IPOs underperformed relative to the CNX500.
  • Reliance Power was the largest underperformer.
  • Zomato is one of the few top IPOs to deliver significant excess returns.
  • Recent IPOs like Bajaj Housing Finance and Ola Electric Mobility show positive performance due to favorable market conditions.

Anoop Vijaykumar, Investments & Head of Research at Capitalmind Financial Services, commented:
“Overall, large IPOs have often struggled to deliver excess returns for investors. IPOs tend to be concentrated in bull markets, where optimistic valuations may not always materialize into the expected earnings growth, leading to underperformance in the longer term.”

The dominance of Financials in IPO fundraising has continued into 2024, accounting for 27% of funds raised. However, Consumer companies (both cyclical and non-cyclical) have now taken the lead, contributing 34% of the total funds raised in 2024, followed by Industrials at 14%.

Top 30 IPOs by Offer Size and Returns

Effective Date Issuer Name Industry Offer Size (₹ Cr) Price Return (%) Total Return (%) Beat CNX500?
May ’22 Life Insurance Corp of India Financial 20,557 -22 70 No
Nov ’21 One 97 Communications (Paytm) Consumer, Non-cyclical 18,300 -51 54 No
Apr ’10 Coal India Energy 15,475 107 443 Beat
Feb ’08 Reliance Power Ltd Utilities 11,700 -94 -94 No
Oct ’17 General Insurance Corp of India Financial 11,373 -34 58 No
Mar ’20 SBI Cards & Payments Services Financial 10,355 50 211 No
Nov ’17 New India Assurance Ltd Financial 9,587 -48 44 No
Jul ’21 Zomato Ltd Consumer, Cyclical 9,375 47 73 Beat
Oct ’17 HDFC Life Insurance Co Financial 8,695 30 129 No
Sep ’24 Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd Financial 6,650 50 50 Beat
Dec ’21 Star Health & Allied Insurance Co Financial 6,401 -39 53 No
Sep ’24 Ola Electric Mobility Pvt Ltd Consumer, Cyclical 6,146 24 136 Beat
Sep ’16 ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co Financial 6,057 30 133 No
Nov ’09 NHPC Ltd Utilities 6,039 81 361 Beat
Nov ’21 PB Fintech Ltd Technology 5,826 -47 51 No
Sep ’17 ICICI Lombard General Insurance Financial 5,701 91 226 Beat
Jun ’21 Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd Consumer, Cyclical 5,667 77 75 Beat
May ’04 NTPC Ltd Utilities 5,536 82 1,398 Beat
Nov ’21 FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) Communications 5,352 -17 56 No
May ’22 Delhivery Ltd Communications 5,235 -10 52 No
Aug ’21 Nuvoco Vistas Corp Ltd Basic Materials 5,000 42 33 No
Jan ’21 Indian Railway Finance Corp Industrial 4,633 80 582 Beat
Mar ’18 Bandhan Bank Ltd Financial 4,473 43 163 No
May ’23 Mankind Pharma Ltd Consumer, Non-cyclical 4,326 57 37 Beat
Aug ’21 Bharti Hexacom Ltd Communications 4,258 33 164 Beat
Apr ’17 BrainBees Solutions (FirstCry) Communications 4,191 39 150 Beat
Mar ’18 Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd Industrial 4,174 42 787 Beat
Mar ’17 Indus Towers Ltd Communications 4,090 16 396 No

blank

The performance of these IPOs highlights the risks associated with large IPO investments. While many large IPOs tend to get optimistic valuations during bull markets, only a few have managed to deliver excess returns. Investors need to be cautious about relying solely on the size of an IPO as an indicator of future returns.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations, and the views expressed here are not those of the author or the publication. Readers are advised to consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.