Canada’s markets opened on Wednesday with a quiet but confident tone. Futures tied to the S&P/TSX 60 were up 0.3% by 12:11 GMT, showing investors were willing to wade back into risk after two straight sessions of pullback in the broader index.
The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite had slipped 0.2% on Tuesday, cooling off from last week’s record high. But Wednesday’s mood was different: traders were laser-focused on fresh earnings from Canada’s biggest financial institutions, a sector that often sets the tone for the national market.
Scotiabank’s numbers were among the most discussed, with analysts noting the bank’s improving credit conditions and stable loan growth. Meanwhile, Laurentian Bank caught traders by surprise; its shares skyrocketed more than 18% after Fairstone Bank announced plans to acquire the lender. The move sparked conversations around consolidation in Canada’s banking sector, which has long been dominated by a small group of major players.
Shopify also grabbed renewed attention after reporting record-breaking holiday season sales across its merchant network during Black Friday and Cyber Monday. Analysts say the results highlight how Canadian tech continues to flex its resilience despite a difficult macro backdrop.
Wall Street futures gain as the Fed narrative turns softer
Across the border, U.S. stock futures were edging higher in early Wednesday trading. The move followed a broad rebound in sentiment on Wall Street, helped by a return of optimism about the Federal Reserve’s next steps.
Dow futures were up 0.1%, while both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also added around 0.1%. While the gains were modest, they signaled renewed stability after a shaky start to the week.
The dominant theme? Rate cuts.
According to CME FedWatch, there is now an 87% probability that the Fed will trim interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting. Traders say expectations have shifted rapidly, with investors betting the central bank will prioritize a cooling labor market despite lingering inflation pressures.
What Traders are watching: Jobs data and the crucial PCE report
This week’s economic calendar is packed, and markets are bracing for it.
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ADP private payrolls are released on Wednesday, offering a preview of the broader labor trend ahead of the official government jobs report.
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The PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, will be released on Friday. Alongside income and spending data, this report could be the deciding factor on how aggressive, or cautious, the Fed chooses to be this month.
Economists say if PCE moderates even slightly, it could cement the case for a near-term rate cut and potentially spark a year-end rally across equities.
Crypto comeback adds spark to tech sentiment
Bitcoin staged an impressive rebound, leaping back above the mid-$90,000 range after tumbling earlier in the week. The recovery triggered a ripple effect across crypto-linked stocks and added momentum to tech names that had been lagging.
Market strategists note that crypto’s volatility continues to influence broader risk appetite, especially for growth-focused investors who watch digital assets as a proxy for sentiment.
Marvell’s big AI bet: A $3.25 billion purchase
In the world of tech M&A, Marvell Technology confirmed a multi-billion-dollar deal to acquire Celestial AI, a semiconductor startup specializing in photonics. The $3.25 billion acquisition is aimed at boosting Marvell’s computing power as the race for AI infrastructure intensifies.
Photonics uses light, rather than electrical signals, to move data at extreme speeds. Analysts say Marvell’s bet puts it in a stronger position against competitors like Nvidia and Broadcom, especially as AI models grow more complex and energy-intensive.
Marvell expects revenue contributions from Celestial to begin in the second half of fiscal 2028, though the strategic value is already being priced in by long-term investors.
Post-market earnings from names like Pure Storage, CrowdStrike, and Okta were also expected to influence Wednesday’s session as traders digested the latest updates from the cybersecurity and data-infrastructure sectors.
Oil prices rise amid a tense geopolitical backdrop
Crude markets saw a firm bounce on Wednesday as traders digested developments around Ukraine. Brent climbed 1.1% to $63.15, while WTI added 1.3% to reach $59.41.
A lengthy meeting between Russia’s Vladimir Putin and U.S. envoys failed to produce a breakthrough, leaving peace talks and the possibility of sanctions relief uncertain. Without progress, markets continue to factor in supply risks tied to Russian output.
Adding pressure, the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprising 2.48 million-barrel jump in U.S. crude inventories last week, raising concerns about oversupply at a time when global demand still looks uneven.
The next major data point arrives on Wednesday afternoon when the U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its official stockpile numbers.
Gold holds its ground as markets await clarity
Gold prices were largely unchanged, with spot gold hovering around $4,206 per ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 0.4% to $4,237.
After touching a six-week high earlier in the week, the yellow metal is now in a holding pattern. Traders say gold is waiting for guidance from the Fed, and the upcoming data could become a catalyst for another leg higher or a brief cool-down.