Defence Minister Subianto declares victory in Indonesia’s presidential election based on early tally results

Indonesian Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto claimed victory based on early counts but urged patience for official results.

Indonesian Defence Minister Prabawo Subianto asserted his win in the first round of Indonesia’s presidential election on Wednesday, February 14th, following early indications from preliminary results showing him in the lead. Subianto announced his victory based on unofficial counts but urged people to remain calm and await the official results from the election commission.

According to early, unofficial “quick count” tallies conducted by Indonesian polling agencies, Subianto was reported to have garnered between 57% and 59% of the votes, with over 80% of the votes counted in sampled polling places.

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In a speech to his supporters, he expressed gratitude for the quick count results, stating, “We should not be arrogant, proud, or euphoric; we still need to remain humble. This victory must be seen as a victory for all Indonesian people.”

The quick counts rely on the real vote count from a selection of polling stations nationwide in Indonesia. While the official count, which is a lengthy process, may take up to a month to complete, quick counts have consistently offered an accurate representation of the outcomes in all four presidential elections conducted in Indonesia since the initiation of direct voting in 2004.

To avoid a runoff against his opponents—two former provincial governors, Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo—Subianto must secure over 50% of all votes cast and attain at least 20% in every province nationwide.

Subianto was anticipated to address fervent supporters in a crowded Jakarta sports arena later in the evening. The next leader after Joko Widodo will take over an economy marked by a significant growth and ambitious infrastructure initiatives, such as the ongoing relocation of the nation’s capital from overcrowded Jakarta to the remote island of Borneo, a project estimated to cost over $30 billion.

The election carries significant implications for both the United States and China, given Indonesia’s vast domestic market, abundant natural resources such as nickel and palm oil, and diplomatic sway within Southeast Asia.