{"id":119573,"date":"2026-05-01T11:40:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T15:40:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/?p=119573"},"modified":"2026-05-01T11:40:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T15:40:05","slug":"brent-crude-holds-near-100-despite-strait-of-hormuz-shock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/brent-crude-holds-near-100-despite-strait-of-hormuz-shock\/119573\/","title":{"rendered":"Brent crude holds near $100 despite Strait of Hormuz shock"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&:has([data-writing-block])>*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] R6Vx5W_threadScrollVars scroll-mb-[calc(var(--scroll-root-safe-area-inset-bottom,0px)+var(--thread-response-height))] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:9a39570b-9cb9-4149-8dbd-1089c645f5b2-7\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-8\" data-scroll-anchor=\"false\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-xs,calc(var(--spacing)*4))] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-sm,calc(var(--spacing)*6))] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-lg,calc(var(--spacing)*16))] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col gap-4 grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal outline-none keyboard-focused:focus-ring [.text-message+&]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"c70d1945-b828-4878-a238-c878119f0e7f\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-3\" data-turn-start-message=\"true\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word dark markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"234\" data-end=\"389\">The shutdown of the <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Strait of Hormuz<\/span><\/span> since February 28 has shaken the oil market. More than 15% of global oil supply has been removed.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"391\" data-end=\"535\">This is one of the biggest disruptions ever seen. Many expected prices to spike sharply. Some forecasts even pointed to $150 or $200 per barrel. <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Brent crude<\/span><\/span> has only climbed to around $90 to $100.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"645\" data-end=\"741\">According to <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Yardeni Research<\/span><\/span>, several factors are keeping prices in check.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1g492b1\" data-start=\"743\" data-end=\"801\">Why Brent crude prices remain stable after supply shock<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"802\" data-end=\"1025\">One key reason is alternative supply routes. Countries like <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Saudi Arabia<\/span><\/span> and the <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">United Arab Emirates<\/span><\/span> are using pipelines. Together, they are moving about 7 million barrels per day.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1027\" data-end=\"1194\">Emergency supply has also helped. Waivers on oil from <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Iran<\/span><\/span> and <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Russia<\/span><\/span> added more barrels to the market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1196\" data-end=\"1363\">Global reserves played a role too. The <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">International Energy Agency<\/span><\/span> released stockpiles. <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">China<\/span><\/span> also sold some of its reserves. Another factor is demand. Consumption is slowing. The IEA now expects global demand to fall by 80,000 barrels per day in 2026.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1493\" data-end=\"1604\">The global economy is also less dependent on energy than in the past. This reduces the impact of supply shocks.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1cu7utw\" data-start=\"1606\" data-end=\"1668\">Asia oil prices spike while global outlook stays controlled<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1669\" data-end=\"1790\">Prices are not equal everywhere. In Asia, <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Dubai crude<\/span><\/span> has surged to as high as $260 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1792\" data-end=\"1897\">This shows how regional shortages are driving sharp price gaps. Buyers in Asia are paying heavy premiums. At the same time, futures markets tell a calmer story. Prices are in backwardation. This means traders expect the disruption to be temporary.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2042\" data-end=\"2187\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Yardeni Research<\/span><\/span> believes <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Brent crude<\/span><\/span> will stay between $85 and $100 for the rest of the year. The firm also noted that interest rate hikes are unlikely for now. Inflation expectations remain stable. There is no strong sign of a wage price spiral yet.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2347\" data-end=\"2428\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">The oil market is under pressure. But it is proving more resilient than expected.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz since February 28 has shaken the oil market. More than 15% of global\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":294,"featured_media":119574,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[36260,35422,12828,36112,36259,5218,34379,7948,33979],"class_list":["post-119573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-us-markets","tag-barrel","tag-brent","tag-brent-crude","tag-brent-oil","tag-brent-price","tag-oil","tag-oil-price","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-top-stories"],"reading_time":"2 min read","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/294"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119573"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119575,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119573\/revisions\/119575"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/usa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}