A last-minute diplomatic shift by Slovakia has allowed the European Union to extend one of its most significant sanctions regimes against Russia, avoiding a legal lapse that could have lifted restrictions on thousands of individuals and entities linked to Moscow’s war in Ukraine. The decision highlights how EU sanctions policy, which requires unanimous approval from all member states, can become vulnerable to political pressure and internal bargaining within the bloc.

The sanctions renewal covers approximately 2,670 individuals and organizations targeted under the European Union’s restrictive measures against Russia. These measures include travel bans and asset freezes and are designed to limit the financial and political influence of individuals accused of supporting or benefiting from Russia’s military actions in Ukraine.

Slovakia had threatened to veto the renewal unless two sanctioned Russian businessmen, Mikhail Fridman and Alisher Usmanov, were removed from the EU sanctions list. The demand raised concerns among diplomats that a single member state could disrupt a major component of the EU’s foreign policy framework.

Under EU law, sanctions must be renewed periodically and require unanimous approval from member states in the Council of the European Union. If a renewal is blocked, the entire sanctions framework could legally expire, automatically lifting restrictions imposed on individuals and organizations.

Slovakia’s ambassador to the EU, Juraj Nociar, reportedly raised the issue during several meetings among EU diplomats, pressing for the removal of Fridman and Usmanov from the sanctions list. However, Slovakia eventually withdrew its veto threat without securing the requested delisting.

Diplomatic sources indicated that Slovakia’s position received limited backing from other EU governments. Hungary, led by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, initially supported Slovakia’s proposal and reportedly sought the removal of additional Russian individuals from the sanctions list. However, Hungary later dropped its request during negotiations.

The sanctions renewal ultimately included the removal of seven individuals from the blacklist, though EU officials said these decisions were based primarily on legal considerations rather than political negotiations. Among those removed was Dutch oil trader Niels Troost, whose case had raised legal concerns over the strength of the evidence supporting his sanctions listing.

EU legal advisers reportedly concluded that certain listings could face challenges before the Court of Justice of the European Union, which has jurisdiction over disputes involving EU sanctions. Individuals placed under restrictive measures have the right to challenge the legality of those sanctions in European courts, making strong evidentiary support essential.

Legal experts note that the EU’s sanctions policy must balance political objectives with legal safeguards. If sanctions are overturned by courts due to weak legal justification, it could undermine the credibility and effectiveness of the EU’s broader sanctions strategy.

Despite Slovakia’s reversal, internal tensions within the EU remain over future sanctions and financial assistance to Ukraine. Hungary continues to block approval of a €90 billion financial support package for Ukraine and has raised objections to additional sanctions measures targeting Russia.

Orbán has linked Hungary’s objections to energy policy concerns, particularly disruptions affecting the Druzhba oil pipeline that supplies Russian crude to Hungary. The dispute reflects broader debates within the EU about balancing energy security, sanctions enforcement, and economic stability.

The European Commission has requested permission from Ukraine to send an inspection mission to assess reported damage to the pipeline infrastructure. The findings could influence ongoing negotiations over energy supply and sanctions policy within the EU.

The latest sanctions renewal underscores the complex legal and political dynamics of EU foreign policy decision-making. As the war in Ukraine continues, maintaining unity among member states remains essential for the effectiveness of the EU’s sanctions framework against Russia.