As the 2024-25 La Liga season enters its decisive phase, the title race is heating up. With FC Barcelona, Atlético Madrid, and Real Madrid locked in a fierce battle for supremacy, fans and analysts alike are eager to predict who will lift the coveted trophy. While early AI-based projections heavily favored Real Madrid, the current league table and form suggest a more unpredictable outcome.
Current Standings and Form
As of early March 2025, the La Liga standings paint a thrilling picture:
- FC Barcelona – 1st place (Unbeaten in last 15 matches)
- Atlético Madrid – 2nd place (1 point behind Barcelona)
- Real Madrid – 3rd place (3 points behind Barcelona)
Barcelona’s resurgence under coach Hansi Flick has been remarkable. The team boasts an incredible unbeaten streak, with key players like Ronald Araújo, Marc Casadó, and Robert Lewandowski playing a crucial role. Their dominant performances have propelled them to the top, making them the strongest contenders at this moment.
On the other hand, Atlético Madrid remains consistent, just one point off the top. Diego Simeone’s side has been solid defensively and efficient in attack, proving they have the resilience to challenge until the final whistle of the season.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid, the pre-season favorites according to AI models, have faced unexpected struggles. Despite Kylian Mbappé’s presence and a squad packed with talent, recent slip-ups have seen them fall behind. However, they are only three points off the top and remain very much in the hunt.
AI-based title predictions
Earlier in the season, predictive models overwhelmingly backed Real Madrid to win La Liga. For example, Opta’s supercomputer assigned them an 86% chance of clinching the title, projecting they would finish with around 89 points. This prediction was driven by their strong squad depth, tactical stability under Carlo Ancelotti, and early-season form.
However, AI models that continuously analyze recent performances and momentum have now adjusted their predictions. Based on current form and standings, new calculations suggest a higher probability for FC Barcelona to finish as champions if they maintain their current trajectory.
Updated AI prediction (as of March 2025):
- FC Barcelona – 45% chance of winning
- Real Madrid – 35% chance of winning
- Atlético Madrid – 20% chance of winning
