Jefferies assigns highest target price to ITC shares, upgrades stock to Buy post Union Budget

Jefferies has upgraded ITC to ‘Buy’ with highest price target of ₹585. This follows the government’s decision to leave tobacco taxes unchanged in the latest budget, providing a boost to ITC, which relies heavily on cigarette sales.

What did FM say on tobacco taxation?

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Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced no changes to tobacco taxation in her budget speech. This decision comes after last year’s 16% hike in National Calamity Contingent Duty (NCCD). ITC’s share price surged over 5% on Tuesday, making it one of the top performers on the Nifty 50 and Sensex indices.

ITC Stock Update –

ITC shares opened at ₹467.05 on the BSE, reaching an intraday high of ₹497.40 and a low of ₹466.55. Nifty FMCG gained 3.03%, with ITC leading the index. The stock ended 6.52% higher at ₹496.95 on NSE.

The stable GST rates, likely to remain unchanged until March 2026, further support ITC’s positive outlook. Additionally, a modest price hike this year is expected to set a solid base for next year. An expected revival in rural demand, spurred by a 12% increase in the Union Budget’s rural allocation, is another positive factor for ITC. This will benefit the company’s non-tobacco businesses, such as FMCG and agriculture. Jefferies has also revised ITC’s earnings per share (EPS) upward by 1-2%.
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