{"id":21096,"date":"2024-07-03T18:28:43","date_gmt":"2024-07-03T12:58:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asia.businessupturn.com\/?p=21096"},"modified":"2024-07-03T18:28:43","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T12:58:43","slug":"former-u-s-intelligence-officer-warns-of-potential-israel-hezbollah-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/middle-east-asia\/israel\/former-u-s-intelligence-officer-warns-of-potential-israel-hezbollah-war\/21096\/","title":{"rendered":"Former U.S. intelligence officer warns of potential Israel-Hezbollah war"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A former U.S. military intelligence analyst has raised alarm about the possibility of Israel initiating a war against Hezbollah, potentially as a means to ensure Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu\u2019s political survival. Harrison Mann, who recently left his position as a major in the Defence Intelligence Agency over disagreements with U.S. support for Israel\u2019s actions in Gaza, shared his concerns in an interview with The Guardian.<\/p>\n<p>Mann suggests that such a conflict could result in mass civilian casualties on both sides and potentially draw the United States into a larger regional conflict. His warnings come despite recent U.S. officials\u2019 private assessments that Netanyahu\u2019s government recognizes the dangers of confrontation with Hezbollah and is not actively seeking conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Mann argues that Netanyahu\u2019s need to maintain a wartime leadership role to prolong his political career and avoid corruption charges could be a driving factor in escalating tensions. Political pressure from tens of thousands of Israelis displaced due to Hezbollah\u2019s rocket and artillery attacks could influence decision-making.<\/p>\n<p>The Israeli military establishment reportedly believes a confrontation with the Iranian-backed Hezbollah is inevitable as the group grows stronger. Mann suggests that Israel may be underestimating both the destruction it would incur and the challenges of effectively combating Hezbollah.<\/p>\n<p>Mann, who is the highest-ranking U.S. military officer to resign over the Gaza conflict, emphasizes that such a strategy could backfire. He criticizes the limits of Israel\u2019s strategic thinking, suggesting that pre-emptive strikes aimed at deterrence might not have the intended effect.<\/p>\n<p>This assessment comes amidst ongoing tensions in the region, with the Israel Defence Forces announcing in June that planning for a Lebanon offensive had been completed. As the situation continues to evolve, international observers remain vigilant about the potential for escalation in this volatile region.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mann suggests that such a conflict could result in mass civilian casualties on both sides and potentially draw the United States into a larger regional conflict.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":406,"featured_media":21097,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[317,1095,826,216,316,12245,4421,12246,279],"class_list":["post-21096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-israel","tag-gaza","tag-hezbollah","tag-idf","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-mann","tag-netanyahu","tag-the-guardian","tag-usa"],"reading_time":"2 min read","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21096","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/406"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21096"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21096\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21097"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21096"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21096"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.businessupturn.com\/asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21096"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}