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Analysts question strategic impact of Israel’s pager attack on Hezbollah

Opinions are divided on whether the operation reflects a short-term reaction or a long-term strategy. Some analysts speculate that Israel may have acted swiftly out of fear that Hezbollah had discovered its ability to sabotage the pagers, leading to an urgent preemptive strike. Conversely, others suggest a more calculated intent behind the operation, positing that Israel hoped to coerce Hezbollah into reconsidering its military aggression amid ongoing negotiations concerning Gaza.

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The imperative of monitoring Hezbollah for Middle East stability

Recent events have highlighted Hezbollah's aggressive posture. On October 7, as Hamas launched a major assault from Gaza, Hezbollah was preparing its own offensive against Israel. Although the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) had weakened Hezbollah's capabilities and delayed the northern front's expansion, the threat from this militant group remains severe. Since October 8, Hezbollah has executed over 2,700 attacks on northern Israel, including 1,000 UAVs and 10,000 anti-tank missiles and rockets, resulting in 25 civilian and 20 military casualties, and displacing approximately 60,000 Israelis.