Image Credits: The Japan Times
As the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidential election approaches, Kyodo News reveals that three candidates are currently leading: former Environment Minister Koizumi Shinjiro, Minister of Economic Security Takaichi Sanae, and former Secretary-General Ishiba Shigeru.
According to a survey conducted on September 15 and 16, none of the nine candidates are expected to secure an outright majority in the first round of voting on September 27. Consequently, a runoff election between the top two contenders appears likely. The survey, which targeted LDP supporters, shows Takaichi leading with 27.7%, followed by Ishiba at 23.7%, and Koizumi at 19.1%. Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi Yoshimasa trails at 6.3%, with other candidates such as Kobayashi Takayuki, Kamikawa Yoko, Kono Taro, Motegi Toshimitsu, and Kato Katsunobu showing even lower support.
Among the 734 total votes, including both Diet members and local party affiliates, Koizumi currently tops the list with 27.9%, while Takaichi and Ishiba hold 21.4% and 19.7%, respectively. This positioning suggests that Koizumi, Takaichi, and Ishiba are the frontrunners, with Koizumi and Takaichi potentially advancing to the runoff given their stronger support among Diet members and local party members.
The voting process will be divided into two rounds: the initial round consists of 734 votes (367 from Diet members and 367 from local affiliates), and the runoff, if necessary, will involve 414 votes, combining Diet member votes and one vote per prefectural federation.
The survey also highlights key issues for voters. Economic measures, including addressing high prices, are a top priority for 36.2% of respondents, followed by foreign affairs and security at 24.5%, and social welfare issues such as pensions and healthcare at 19.3%. Additionally, 66.1% of those surveyed believe lawmakers involved in factional slush fund scandals should provide explanations in the Diet. Opinions are divided on the introduction of a selective system for separate surnames for married couples, with 41.4% in favor and 43.2% opposed.